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A new study finds that work-from-home raises fertility more than any conventional family policy. "Estimated lifetime fertility is greater by 0.32 children per woman when both partners WFH one or more days per week as compared to the case where neither does." 🧵.
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David Watson 🥑
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In this chart, a large effect is clearly seen, with fertility higher when either partner has some work-from-home and highest when both do. The authors say this is not due to selection because fertility rose among those that unexpectedly got WFH, compared to those that didn't.
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Raising the work-from-home share of either partner by seven percent raised the one-year fertility by a similar amount, which means that families that have WFH have considerably higher fertility on average.
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For women, working has a negative impact on fertility by competing with family aspirations. But this effect was "largely offset" when the women were able to work from home.
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The authors conclude that WFH adds 8% to US births, or 291,000 births per year. This is greater than the contribution of government spending on childcare. Not all jobs are suited for WFH and WFH doesn't fix the birthrate crisis by itself, but it is an important lever.
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Turns out fertility responds less to slogans and more to structures that reduce unpaid labour and time pressure. Especially for women.
This was obvious during Covid. People were having more sex. Then Elon Musk, who's supposedly very concerned about birth rates, went on a personal mission to destroy work-from-home as much as possible.
I think people really underestimate how harmful these arcane beliefs that many employers still hold like that women and older people make unreliable employees because they’re less likely to be able to dedicate 20 years to the company. So much of our lives are constrained by
So when people have resources (time and energy) they have kids? What an absolute surprise. Who could have seen this coming?
So people think of having kids when they know they know they are actually going to be able to take care of them at home and not pay expensive daycare and live in guil? Shocking.
breaking working families with two working parents having either older family members nearby, or one spouse working from home makes it possible to have kids
If not the property and health issues, we could have more kids literally because we both work mostly remote. We spare commute time, the school is not far away...
I get that this is going to capture a lot of professional class households as a confounding variable, but 0.32 is a big number.
Not sure if this should be read as "being around your children/being able to be with them for more time makes you want more" or "those that want to spend more time with their children & have more are much more likely to want to WFH"
Parents should always be allowed to WFH as far as the job allows it. Big premium for many (it saves time and money, something that children cost you).
They are going to invent house wives. Multiple studies, research budgets, long nights. We all believe in them!
Algo really delivered with this post. WFH dad with a SAHM role for my wife. We have one and are working on 2 more lol
or we could just give maternity leave for the first 18 months. But no, we would rather give one trillion/year for war toys. enjoy societal collapse.
Who watches the kids while they work from home? Your employer isn’t paying you to homeschool your kids. Women with tons of small kids are prey for MLM scams, is this what it’s about?
One policy proposal is to require work-from-home for female corporate workers, and then slowly dial down the “work” component to 0 over a number of decades.
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