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The job of piano player was essentially automated 129 years ago. And yet, I heard a man playing piano in a hotel lobby today for pay. What does this tell us about AI?
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David Watson 🥑
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"Musician" used to be a normal middle class profession and now it's basically either a hobby or an extremely competitive profession with a tiny number of people who can make a real living off of it.
that if a job can be fully automated with no loss in quality it probably kills 90% of the job market which can be commoditized but leaves behind a small minority who essentially function as human veblen goods? not a very good argument
Also it’s very puzzling that Taylor Swift still makes money touring when you can listen to higher audio quality versions of her music in the comfort of your own home!
There’s a lot more to the job actually - sometimes you have to play a sad and sweet song that an old man making love to his tonic and gin knew when he wore a younger man’s clothes
It remains the case that 99% of piano music you here is 'automated' - played back through a set of speakers. Piano player is an extremely competitive niche job, and those doing it in a hotel lobby struggle to make a living off it. Not a bright analogy for human jobs.
Nothing, because the product of a piano performer is the performance itself, not the music. There are jobs where "being human" is part of the job. But not enough.
Kurt Vonnegut wrote a book about this called Player Piano… it’s about this idea of automation, its limits, and the human fascination with machines… still there is the idea that newer performers are crowded out by recorded ‘great performances’…
it tells us that tech progress under capitalism leads to more exploitation Marx mentioned this: "tradespeople and handicraftsmen...sink gradually into the proletariat, partly because their diminutive capital does not suffice for the scale on which Modern Industry is carried on"
That musical composition, prose literature, and mathematical proofs might be the last few remaining creative fields that will be the last to crack.

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