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Ramez Naam
@ramez
This is not good. This is driven by both underlying climate and an unprecedented super-El Nino. Either way, are now exceeding climate model forecasts. Warming is accelerating and CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere increase. And the acceleration is faster than we expected.
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Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
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David Watson 🥑
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Stefan Pasti
@StefanPasti
“If methane emissions, primarily from biogenic methane sources, continue to rise at rate similar to observed in recent yrs, the modern rise since 2006 would be large enough to be identified as first part of a ‘termination-scale’ event…” Nisbet July 2023
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Atmospheric Methane: Comparison Between Methane's Record in 2006–2022 and During Glacial Terminat...
The rapid growth in the atmospheric methane burden that began in late 2006 is very different from methane's past observational record Recent studies point to strongly increased emissions from wet...
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Jackson Roberts
@CeramicSnake
From 1850, interesting because the agreed upon ending of the “Little Ice Age” is 1850. Meaning temperatures in Europe were a lot cooler.
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Ænigmǝ🇺🇸🇳🇱
@aenigme
There is a reason Progressives always use the 19th century as their baseline. Watch the "climate crisis" debunked in less than 5 minutes.
The media could not be played.
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BONUS🌍
@TheDisproof
Worth pointing out that ENSO, as in La Nina and El Nino only redistribute energy in Earth's systems, whilst fossil fuel emissions add to it.
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XM
@XmEconomics
Would you compromise on a "big bargain deal", say: $40 per ton carbon tax at every primary source point (Dem's interest), in exchange for 25 years of ZERO legal immigration and end to all work visa programs, TPS, refugees, asylum, etc.(MAGA's interest).?
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nvo
@nickvanosdol
Big question is whether climate models generally have historically underestimated sensitivity. Will be hard to say for some time Need better observational data on lots of things, such as falling sulfate aerosol stocks' impact on diminishing cloud formation
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