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Alec Stapp
@AlecStapp
NIH grantmaking appears to be back on track! Withholding science funding was a major unforced error. Very glad to see this reversal.
A line graph showing the value of grants awarded in 2025, reaching $1.21B, compared to an average of $1.08B from 2016-2024. Multiple lines track funding trends over months from February to September. The text "STAT10" and labels like "$1.21B" and "$1.08B" are visible.
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STAT
@statnews
A frenzy of grantmaking in August has the NIH seemingly on pace to spend its entire $47 billion budget by the end of the fiscal year on Sept. 30 trib.al/dILHvKB
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David Watson 🥑
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Alec Stapp
@AlecStapp
More good news:
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andrewgerard
@andrewmgerard
Solid write up of @metaculus pro forecaster predictions and reasoning on NIH and NSF budgets and (crucially) actual obligations. Forecasters expect both agencies to avoid major cuts, and actually spend the money appropriated. x.com/metaculus/stat…
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Alec Stapp
@AlecStapp
Looks like a lot of it is by shifting to multi-year grants:
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andrewgerard
@andrewmgerard
I was happy to see that NIH is going to spend it's full $47 billion budget by Sept 30 (buy your favorite bedraggled NIH program officer a drink), and *very* interested to see this detail on how they are doing it: front loading funding for research grants.
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ergodic trace
@ErgodicTrace
the number of U.S. labs and universities that had researchers in seats then without funding, did they furlough them or layoffs?
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Donpaul Stephens
@DonpaulStephens
I strongly suspect the grant constraints were in part due to help suppress as much economic activity at the beginning of the term... moving as much into the year running up the midterms as possible - to goose growth
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Maynard Handley 🟦
@handleym99
Grants for WHAT? Just claiming they are for "science" fools no-one now. We've all seen how the scam works, whether the funding goes to DEI, to fraud, or to dangerous concepts like gain of function. You shouldn't be cheering unless you have receipts for exactly where the money
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Nunya
@imtweetn
Think about the value per dollar spent now that it won’t be alotted based on DEI and fantasy politics.
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Ryan Beck
@ryanbeck111
Some additional good news too:
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Metaculus
@metaculus
Article cover image
NIH & NSF Funding Outlook (FY2026–FY2028): A Metaculus Pro Forecaster Assessment
Metaculus Pro Forecasters produced probability distributions for NIH and NSF appropriations and actual obligations for FY2026–FY2028. In the below adapted summary of the full report, find their...
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horizon
@2itshorizon
As universities agree to the demands made by the President, budgets will go back to that normal line.
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