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Alexander Berger
@albrgr
You're doomed in a close election with a 6 point national swing against you but outperforming by almost 3pp of margin in swing states is evidence of good tactical campaigning
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Otis Reid
@otis_reid
Replying to @otis_reid
This was a broad based shellacking. Using NYT needle to project final counts, it looks like the national popular vote moved by 6 points against Dems. That’s massive. BUT campaign effects are real: the shift in battlegrounds was closer to 3 points.
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David Watson 🥑
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Alexander Berger
@albrgr
In retrospect, this looks like it was the point of no return: x.com/JoeBiden/statu Harris is on track to have lost ~3 points of vote share relative to 2020, which is ~half the average incumbent party loss in OECD elections since 2023. Hard for VP to distance from unpop prez.
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Joe Biden
@JoeBiden
A photo of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris
My fellow Democrats, I have decided not to accept the nomination and to focus all my energies on my duties as President for the remainder of my term. My very first decision as the party nominee in 2020 was to pick Kamala Harris as my Vice President. And it’s been the best
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HHH_Report
@HHH_Report
“tactical campaigning” ? Wouldn’t anyone else have also done exactly what she did, campaign in the core swing states? It wasn’t some genius move, it’s what any candidate would’ve done
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balrog81
@batterystaple42
It's suggestive at best. What the counterfactual? No campaigning in swing states? Any replacement-level campaign which focuses on the swing states? The smaller margin in the swing states could just be due to the inherent characteristics of the voting population there.
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Dr. Barbara H. Rigney
@BarbaraHRigney
Disinformation works-ask voters about positions they liked hers better. It never heard facts via Murdoch Sinclair and bro podcasts-can’t have democracy with failing media and bad information-a campaign can’t counter that and T cowed the media in 2015 and on
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