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David Watson 🥑
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“Overall we find ignoring Andy Beshear, Charlie Baker, Joe Manchin, Jared Golden, Mary Peltola, and Don Bacon while imagining a hypothetical swing district extremist …”
Yeah, the abstract says moderates on average do 0.6% better Susan Collins will easily do more than 0.6% better than the generic R lol
“Moderates outperform” is such an obviously correct statement that trying to model the minds of people who disagree is genuinely kinda difficult for me.
But on this note. Why aren’t left leaning groups carpet bombing cheap media Maine tying Collins to every unpopular move to erase her positives? Hypothetically this is Dems best pick up opportunity.
Reading that abstract furthe validates my decision that leaving the poly sci graduate program at TN was the best decision I ever made.
It's just data... she has clearly gotten mileage out of the perception of moderation, but on average most others have not been so dramatically rewarded. Maybe the trick is to express rhetorical "concerns?"
Dems need a candidate first… Golden looks like he isn’t going to run and Janet Mills is well pushing 80.
You are such a centrist hack. Let’s bet on ALL of the races. Whatever you want. You don’t get to choose one race. We look at ALL of them combined and bet. You are one of these “science isn’t real, only my anecdotes are” kind of people. Just join the Republican Party already.
Democrats listened to you in 2016 and 2024 and got smoked. Biden’s advisors read your tweets first thing every morning and Biden was the first failed Democratic presidency since the 1970s. I’m sensing a pattern.