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1/ Okay, it's time to weigh in on the permitting discussion. The letter from 118 climate scientists opposing the bipartisan EPRA bill is really upsetting and full of misinformation:
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Daniel M Kammen
@dan_kammen
A Letter from 118 U.S. Scientists on the Climate Impacts of the Energy Permitting Reform Act TO: @SenateDems @SenateGOP @HouseDemocrats @HouseRepubs @MichaelEMann @350 @billmckibben @howarth_cornell @ultracricket @ClumpedIsotopes @Prof_FSultana @mzjacobson
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David Watson 🥑
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2/ There is lots to disagree with here, but a few things need to be said: First, they bizarrely assert that , , and the other modelers don't model the impacts of combusting exported fossil fuels abroad.
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4/ Second, the authors note that the restriction of a barrel of oil only results in half a barrel making it onto the global market (an effect accounts for, though the actual best available science points to a somewhat lower number).
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5/ This is bizarre, because *in the very next paragraph* they cite an analysis that, by its own admission, ignores this very substitution effect (and engages in multiple other forms of double-counting) in order to...
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6/...make the preposterous claim that the IRA's climate benefits are more than outweighed by a handful of permits the Biden Administration gave to fossil fuel projects, which is--to be clear--insane.
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7/ Third, they state that "[t]here is simply no evidence to date that bringing renewables online will hinder or arrest increased fossil fuel production." If that were true, plots like this would not exist!
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8/ If their logic were extended, these climate scientists should oppose the IRA--by far the most significant climate bill *in history*--on the grounds that it also included modest requirements for leasing fossil fuels. On that, the authors are consistent, I guess? (see 5 above)
9/ In closing: climate misinformation is a real problem, and it's important to call it out, even (especially) when it comes from friends and allies. Decarbonization is hard and full of trade-offs, but if the authors of this letter had their way, emissions would increase.
Hi Jane -you worked in the White House, so can you explain to black and brown communities in the LNG sacrifice zones why it’s ok for the permitting bill to deregulate 86 years of congressional mandate to only allow gas exports that are “consistent with the public interest “
Tyson, I do not read the bill as doing this (on the public interest standard) and if it did I would likely not support it. Will dm you.
Thank you, Jane. The “solution denial” coursing through this letter is as pernicious, ungrounded and morally outrageous as the science denial many of these same authors righteously derided for the last 20 years.
The amount of renewables is irrelevant to climate change. Only fossil fuel emissions (& land use changes) matter, so we need policies that phase out—not increase—fossil fuel supply. If we phase out FFs, renewables will take their place & not just add to total energy supply.
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I think the EPRA bill is being unfairly criticized by some climate scientists, it's time to look at the bigger picture and find common ground for meaningful climate action.
Big TY for noting the many errors here. Policymakers need solid analysis when evaluating grand bargains like EPRA. RFF and Princeton delivered. Their work merits care & rigor in response. Policy to build the ENORMOUS clean system we need deserves serious thinking.
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