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Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
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We have this popular myth that war is a constant feature of human nature, unchanging, always with us, blah blah blah. But it's not true. When the world falls into crisis, war kicks up to a whole new level of bad.
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Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
For years, you called for a multipolar world. Well, be careful what you wish for. noahpinion.blog/p/the-crisis-o
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David Watson 🥑
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MoreTheMan
@RealMoreTheMan
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Ea-Nasir
@Deshpacito661
War is a way to rapidly change the status quo. If you are not happy with your place in the current status quo, war is the only logical option.
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Juan
@JuanIsidro
By focusing on conflict, history books/classes make it look like history is just wars, wars, wars while not giving enough context for the decades or centuries without wars. “Skipping the boring parts”.
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Klaas Kazaks
@apralky
The econbrained version of this is that the frequency of supply shocks isn't gonna pick up exponentially in a polycentric world so central banks are still perfectly fine institutions in the current format
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PaulaGhete
@PaulaGhete
I would want to see the updated version, up to 2025 because sadly the trend of victims of violent conflicts is going up.
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🇺🇸psiphi🦉
@psiphi_gavagai
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🇺🇸psiphi🦉
@psiphi_gavagai
Replying to @jasonmashak
The numbers of wars among great powers and the numbers of people dying in them have steadily declined w/ increasing US hegemony w/ the sharpest decline after the fall of the USSR. This doesn’t include the many millions more that died under Mao & Stalin. ourworldindata.org/war-and-peace
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Suvy
@SuvyBob
Fat tailed outcomes are very hard for humans to envision intuitively.
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Rival
@realjacobsrival
This is such a dumb chart. The American civil war insanely deadly and this makes it look like a blip. It’s definitely not an accurate depiction of how belligerent human beings tend to be.
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Tate Tower
@TateLTower
The post napoleonic age has been especially peaceful. I expect a longer time horizon, as well as shifting to a relative scale, would show that war is more constant
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Emo Support Cobra Chicken🌎
@Pablonorm
The chart seems to confirm that, at least for that 200 year period, on a global scale it's more or less true. Obviously, at some points it can get much much worse, but still always around.
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imediativo
@imediativo
The multipolar world is a shibboleth for states without rule of law and without accountability to continue to abuse their people without pressure from the international community.
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