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David Watson 🥑
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Several commenters are saying that this is misleading because people don't bother reporting. But isn't there an incentive to report because it's a requirement for filing an insurance claim?
Capitulation in reporting? Or tourism so thoroughly destroyed leaving no bipping targets? I'll take good news but it seems a little sus to drop that dramatically.
Yes it is rare good news, even at 27 break-ins per day. I got rid of a car... are those mirroring decline in population, vistors and/or vehicles in general? We lost ~34k residents in past 5yrs eg younger folks leaving & families dealing with poor public school choices 🤔
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Misleading. My car got broken into four times in San Francisco and I never once reported it. Why bother. My insurance paid without a police report.
this is not adjusted per capita.... still high since there was a 10% population drop and no commuters cutting out another 10%
I have returned multiple pieces of luggage back to tourists that I found dumped near my apartment.
Mitigated by the fact that most tourists just stay out of SF, meaning that their cars cannot be burglarized in SF.
Yes, many people stop reporting, but I have seen much less glass. Bait vehicles are proven effective. There is a multinational study on using bait bikes, and they caught thieves who also committed other types of crimes. With dna, cameras and drones, etc. it should be harder to
After normalizing the report quantity as a proportion of vehicles registered in the jurisdiction, adjusted for travel and parking patterns, see if the variable is dependent on clearance rate.
when someone's car gets broken into in the SF Bay Area, you don't call the cops because there's nothing they can do. So statistically, it never happened.
Is it because there are no cars left to break into? Is it because so many people have moved out of the city? These seem like relevant potential statistics that could be informative but that's my take
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Amazing what arresting 'smash and grab' criminals does to lower the car break-in rate. Love the new administration in SF. They are quietly turning things back to safer, walkable streets.
it is misleading. the folks at the Taraval station thanked me for reporting my two car break-ins during this period. they said that most people do not report. they don't want insurance rates to go up and they don't think SFPD will actually do anything. SFPD needs the data to
LOL people aren't reporting it because nothing gets done about it. And no they don't need it "for insurance", if they claim for it their insurance will get canceled or the rate go through the roof. This isn't hard to figure out but don't count on "news" outlets to tell you.
Surely you are kidding. The police do not respond, and they tell you they are not going to do anything. When your car is broken into twice in one week you stop reporting it. Rental car companies even tell you not to bother reporting the breakins.
>Reported car break-ins REPORTED being the key word here. Do you think most people even bother filing a police report any longer? What's the point?
This report is not accurate at all. Many incidences are going unreported. The deductible is more than the cost to repair so why report to insurance?
Likely just under reported. Residents of SF have lowered their expectations of fairness and justice. Sad but true
Maybe it’s because people are not reporting it or due to the rain we had, the thugs did not want to get wet? I know my brother’s car was broken into and he did not bother to report it despite my protest.
It seems people have gotten the message that leaving their car in downtown San Fran isn’t a good idea. That’s why the decline.
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Kinda like Covid.. wrong reporting. Rather, police not taking or doing reports any longer. I mean, that is one way to reduce the stats.
What does SFPD say? In Washington state, the police say data like this means crime victims stop reporting incidents because they believe officers won’t respond.
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Katie Daviscourt 📸
@KatieDaviscourt
CONFIRMED: Crime is NOT trending downwards — This Renton police sergeant near Seattle says crime victims are no longer reporting incidents to police because they believe officers won't respond.
The sad news is that the radical left is burning down and vandalizing Tesla cars, which is more serious crime.
Makes you wonder why Democrats let it get so bad when they had the power to make a difference the entire time.
I can’t believe people don’t report crimes! The police have to take a report and it goes into their numbers. You want enforcement report crimes.
the drop in "reported" break-ins i suspect has little to do with the actual number of break-ins..... and speaks volumes about victim fatigue.
People in sf know this to be true. Used to live near fisherman’s wharf and it got way better the past few months. Credit where it is due. Still too high? Sure but progress is progress
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Almost 0 arrests & 0 victims getting their valuables back though. SFPD Chief Scott lucked into drop & deserves none of the credit.
As someone who lived there for nearly two decades, this is not a reliable metric. My car was broken into nearly a dozen times in Pac Heights and we never once reported it.
Re: reporting for insurance, rates have gotten so high that I’ve raised my deductible to max, or dropped full-coverage depending on vehicle’s value. I had a break-in in SJ & just paid out-of-pocket. No point in reporting it, nothing will be done & no insurance pmt to cover it
I used a junker for going into the city. I still won't drive a new car into the city. If the number of break ins have actually fallen, why? This is a messy measurement because not all break-ins are reported, people have learned it is a waste of their time to report it, look.