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David Watson 🥑
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the ruling isn't even till next year a couple articles came out saying the judges were skeptical, polymarket odds shifted Doesn't mean anything
Opportunity to hedge risk this way. If you import, buy the 28% chance that they do uphold it. In theory that means you for sure get back 72% of your tariff spend.
What does in favor mean? What if they permit in some countries (like China) but not all?
Wonder if Polymarket traders caught the nuance that the courts questioning evolved "which" [not "if"] legal authority was a better fit than IEEPA for the president's tariffs to fall under: 1. whether IEEPA allowing presidential authority oversight on imports applied to include
If struck down how would this not be the biggest transfer of wealth from consumer to corporation ever imagined? If struck down give refunds back to taxpayers
We are in a world now where polymarkets are the preferred indicators of life events. Even though these can be manipulated like propaganda
Did you listen to the oral arguments? Are you a lawyer? If no to either question, no need to reply. If yes to both, please explain to me how they are going to find that a tariff is a tax, which P admitted was the core of their case.
If he'd just left Canada and Mexico out of the whole ordeal he might have faired better. Then he throws a tantrum over a TV ad, threatening even higher tariffs because of an ad, he exposed the reality. No emergency related to TV ads. Lawyers must have loved that moment.
Bessent already knows how to execute “tariff cleanup” using other executive branch powers. It’s a game of whack-a-mole and the opposition never knows the next move. 🇺🇸
Everyone made up their mind when they were grilling the Trump admin. But did you watch them grilling the opposing counsel ? Seems it all hinges if “tariffs” are considered revenue generating. Great example was given - if a tariff was enacted to be enforced in 90 days, but is
Anyone know how these odds are calculated? Eg did the justices provide feedback that signaled a lack of support? It’s one thing for the counterparty to have the mic all day
Its up to Chief Justice Roberts... "major questions doctrine" Alito-Thomas-Kavanaugh-Barrett ---- are all "Yes Tariff or License-fees" Gorsuch-Sotomayor-Kagan-Jackson ----are all "No Tariff-Taxes" But at least the court agreed Tariff's are paid by Americans (taxes or not)
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Believing polymarket and kalshi are anything more than the opinions of retarded gambling addicts is indicative of sub moronic IQ.
UATX will never charge tuition. And we will never take government money. Here's why. Graduates spend decades shouldering debt for hollow credentials. This debt influences every decision they make: What job to take. Where to live. When to marry. When to have children. Some will
Courts, states, democrats, and independents in the electorate are rising up. Next up is Congress starting to fight back. The release of the Epstein files. This presidency is over
I voted MAGA and this is good news and ridiculous policy. I try to explain to my fellow voters that giving T this power means giving Newsom this power and that scares me as a native Californian.
If SCOTUS strikes down tariffs that Congress authorized, Trump will be forced to embargo China over their next move with rare earth metal processing. I'd be in favor of it. No electronics for 5 years to destroy the CCP. But many Americans will scream and bitch, Dems especially
Yeah, right, a bunch of people who don't know a damn thing about the Laws around Tariffs (there are several, and Trump only used ONE), but hate Trump, think he is going to LOSE. BFD! They simply switch to another option and go forward. There is absolutely NO WAY the Supremes