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Wall Street Journal now reporting that Jamie Dimon told investors last week that the *best case outcome* is now a recession for the U.S. This was at the same closed door meeting where Bessent told the same investors that the current tariffs on China are unsustainable. How much louder do they need to get before asset prices get the message?
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David Watson 🥑
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And for those not in finance, take from this statement that there is generally no reason to beleive we are in the best case when we say what the best case scenario is.
𝑴𝑺𝑵𝑩𝑪 𝑮𝒖𝒆𝒔𝒕 𝑻𝒆𝒍𝒍𝒔 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑻𝒓𝒖𝒕𝒉 𝑨𝒃𝒐𝒖𝒕 𝑾𝒆𝒂𝒍𝒕𝒉𝒚 𝑬𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒆𝒔 Scott Galloway, multi-millionaire professor gives dire warning about the decline of American capitalism and wealth inequality. ★ NEW ARTICLE ⬇️
Ok, JP Morgan CEO thinks the "best case" outcome of tariffs is a "mild recession." What's the "worst case," another "Depression?" What about the "most likely case," a "severe recession?" The last time someone tried tariffs, it was Smoot Hawley. The Great Depression followed.
But yields are down since. Really weird stuff going on. Is it a case of not wanting to be the first to pull the plug and watch asset prices plummet? Or is it a case of “where else do we park the money?”
It's wild, things are escalating so fast I think we are much more likely to see deflation as a result of paused purchasing in a more than mild recession.
Something just doesn't make sense. These are smart guys that are going all in on Trump... how the hell can they be good with all of this crazy crap?
This is a tough call. If you ride it out, you could be whiped out. If you sell and it doesn't crash, you could erode your entire portfolio. It's almost a lose lose. Need a pro to help hedge against this madness.
Trump: I don't wanna be Herbert Hoover Trump: *proceeds to do Herbert Hoover on steroids stuff*
Dimon is a smart executive. Sees writing on wall. Writing still on wall. Days pass and writing remains on wall, now standing out ever more clearly. Dimon concludes: no amount of this team's saving face will ever be enough, iceberg incoming, brace for impact.
Oh. At least he told us that his wife supported Kamala Harris. I’m guessing he’ll be fine whatever happens. Poor people maybe not.
They all believe this is temporary, just some negotiations, then everything will go back to normal. Many MAGA writes that anyway.
Thought that since November 5th, 2024. Folks don't seem to realize we were falling into a recession in 2019 pre-covid. For the life of me, how people could vote for Trump based on the economy. Most people don't understand economics or government.
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this is the same jamie dimon who cheered and went all-in for tRump. kinda put a big question mark on his judgment, doesn’t it?
The fact is that it’s manufactured and a self inflicted wound and now everyone has to pay for their incompetence
Xi and friends are enjoying this show, along with Putin. Sad we have such a lack of strategy in our current administration. It's pathetic and scary. Many of my friends are looking for other countries to live in right about now.
Bessent now threatening an “escalation letter” in his pocket is preposterous & horrible bluffing.
Trump & his Republican enablers did this on purpose to kill USD & move to crypto. Guess why? Been warning for years. Dictatorship in progress. MAGA FU! Enjoy your empty shelves, lack of defense protection, and paying more while the dollar delivers less. 🤬
It was only a few months ago that The Economist called the US economy "The Envy of the World" - Trump could have let it ride & taken credit for it, just like he did when he inherited a good economy from Obama.
I love your posts. Please don’t mind me spamming them with the “too much winning” gif. It’s just that it’s so perfectly aligned to what you’re posting. Lol.
Cuando Wall Street predice recesión, es como ver a un pirómano avisando del fuego. Mientras, en los Emiratos seguimos con el termostato en 'estabilidad económica'.
Stocks “looking through” to the endgame? Recession, blowout Federal deficit, yields rise, yield curve control, assets to the moon (in nominal, not real terms?)

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$31 tariff on a $22 dress for a total of $54. Get ready to see anger like you have never seen before. Americans are addicted to cheap goods and this shock therapy isn’t going to go over well with them.
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So you’re telling me a small group of billionaire elites—let’s call them a cabal—is coordinating through Signal chats to secretly control narratives and manipulate public opinion behind the scenes? Interesting.
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BuccoCapital Bloke
@buccocapital
Can’t stop laughing at this leaked groupchat screenshot. It’s perfect.
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MGM laying off all concierge staff at all Vegas resorts except Aria and Bellagio; closing buffet at Excalibur, parking staff reductions due to lower visitor counts and demand. The Golden Age continues
Rarely has a financial crisis been so easy to predict, because it is caused by the US president: 1. Tariffs drastically reduce shipping to the US. 2. Complete uncertainty minimizes investment in the US. 3. The world seeing US madness sells $, 4. & sells US treasuries. /1