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There's like maybe a 20% chance of a successful liberalization of Syria but it's by far the funniest outcome to everything
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Ragıp Soylu
@ragipsoylu
Here is the state of affairs on day one of the HTS-led government in Damascus: • Central Bank operating; commercial banks reopen Thursday. •Mohammed al-Bashir appointed to form a temporary government. •Jolani met Bashir and Assad’s PM to arrange power transfer.
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David Watson 🥑
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How could that possibly happen? Al-Qaeda literally just took over the country, and people are saying this is a wonderful win for democracy. Wtf is going in neoliberal Twitter land?
I don't think Julani will liberalize Syria, but I can see him setting the stage. From what I've read so far, he'll probably get along with Turkey more than Iran due to mutual dislike of the Kurds and Iran.
20% is incredibly optimistic tbh. Better to just hope for a regime that isn’t as comically evil as Assad’s was.
Got a feeling that it will end up having a government similar to the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan or something similar to Iran with a developmentalist, Islamic Republic but without a Ayatollah with wide ranging powers
The transition to who controls bureaucracy has been remarkably smooth and I'm not sure that's necessarily a good sign
It's a 0% chance. The optimistic scenario is a Libya ending. The pessimistic scenario is a Sudan ending
The Turkish-backed rebels have already essentially forced the Kurdish-led SDF to withdraw from Manbij (and soon the west bank of the Euphrates). So I’m a bit bearish on the mutual trust between the two.
Just imagine Milei making a trip to Damascus to give all this talk of liberalisation a boost. Would be downright hilarious.
i think the most likely outcome is an authoritarian state which hopefully isn’t as repressive there is no way a liberal democracy comes out of this
If Julani successfully ends the civil war and creates a stable, liberal republic he'd be one of the greatest statesman in the past century.
𝑳𝒐𝒏𝒈𝒔𝒉𝒐𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏 𝑺𝒕𝒓𝒊𝒌𝒆; 𝑳𝒂𝒃𝒐𝒓’𝒔 𝑵𝒆𝒄𝒆𝒔𝒔𝒂𝒓𝒚 𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 The resounding success of the ILA strike proves that unionization is the path to winning back working class power after decades of regressive neo-liberalism. ★
A government's job is to keep society running without disruptions and that's what they're trying to do.
Syria was quite secular under Assad, and socially liberal already. They guy was evil, but Syrian daily life was nothing like Iran or Saudi Arabia.
The war between the SNA and the Krud (SDF) will lead to a new civil war. Unfortunately, HTS does not have the power to calm SNA.
My gut feeling he will be an attaturk like figure or something similar to the shah of iran, build up the country and rule as an authoritarian, and proceed to educate people before introducing democracy
in my opinion, Syria is just too big and too diverse to be governed as an Islamist state. One look at Iran will tell you that much. Jolani won't be too loose on Islamizations, he still has a bunch of guys following him who need reassurance that what they fought for is fine for em
wtf? the rebels and 95% of syrians are Muslims. why should they form a liberal republic you dumb inbecile. that's like making Canada an Islamic state. do you actually realize how dumb you are