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everything thats happening rn is the culmination of a proxy war between Israel and Iran breaking out into a hot war between them
all of the above IMO; their breakout time is down to weeks and that is a material change from earlier this century
but yeah, what Israel has accomplished in terms of dismantling Soleimani’s proxy-based deterrent is extraordinary… dude is rolling in his grave rn
Bibi trying to save his reputation somewhat after the failure to stop Oct 7th too
Possible that the collapse of the axis of resistance caused a recent sprint to the bomb because now that’s their only deterrence. My preferred theory is that the separate peace Trump struck with the Houthis made depleting the Iranian missile stock more urgent, so not about nukes.
Israel responded to Trump signalling interest in returning to the JCPOA. That's what they preempted.
The ONLY connection Israel's actions toward Iran has to do with Iranian nukes is that if they actually had nukes, Israel wouldn't do it.
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maybe im wrong! but it wouldnt surprise me if Israel is recognizing that its not enough to just degrade the neighboring proxies if theyll just rearm with Iranian support again