I've always found fertility discourse to be a bit strange because most parents I talk to say "we'd probably have had more kids if we could just get stable help during the first few years" and yet on here people speculate about potential causes like fragments of a lost language.
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I think the point that the last decade of fertility collapse is almost entirely driven by coupling rates going down dramatically everywhere in the world and *not* by couples having fewer kids is clarifying and cuts through a lot of the culture war stuff on this
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I do think the left-wing approach often misses the point that stable high-quality *childcare* is much more critical than just the money needed to afford it. Money doesn't help much if every daycare has a 2 year waiting list.
Interesting! Feels like South Asia is presenting a natural experiment.
Its kind of crazy to say that middle east countries have what western conservatives would call traditional gender roles
Norway is similar to Vermont
Do you really think Mississippi is similar to tunisia? I think that's a wild claim
It feels like another case of “the smartphones screwed everything up again”. When almost the whole world has the same trend at exactly the same time the only possible explanation is technological.
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bullish.social0:11
Bullish Social
People do not want to have more than 1-2 children, simply because they no longer feel like they have too. This is not going to change. The smarter play would be to begin to think of how we care for the elderly and fill labor gaps without relying on subsequently larger generations
I know that it's happening in Saudi Arabia and more "traditionalist" Muslim countries too. But Tunisia and Turkey are obviously the more liberal and secular nations of the Islamic world especially when it comes to sex relations.
What if we actually reduced the earth’s population? 
Doesn’t sound like a bad thing all ‘round
Doesn’t sound like a bad thing all ‘round
Isn't there a transition period where people are moving to later child births and therefore fewer total births where the fertility rate is going to go below the long run fertility rate?