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You hear people screaming bloody murder that Chinese companies are winning because they are "unfairly subsidized" by the government, then you look up the numbers and it's like $800 million for a company with $52 billion in revenue. If that's all it took, we'd do it too!
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David Watson 🥑
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Note how the percentages change over time, meaning someone in the government is paying attention and it isn't just on bureaucratic autopilot. This is an active and responsive government industrial policy to replace gasoline vehicles with electric vehicles for strategic reasons.
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Right—they'd be better off complaining that "China's industrial policy is really effective at creating competitive technology-driving industry" and then noticing that for some reason Western countries no longer are, and focusing on fixing that instead.
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Dhiraj
@IndustrlPolicy
Subsidies and support exist in various forms in china,not just as direct payments. When China decided that these battery national champions need to grow the teeth,it that made it virtually impossible for non-Chinese cos to sell EV batteries in its market x.com/mmjukic/status…
Indeed. Why would anybody want to subsidize cheap energy and the manufacturing of goods?
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Live Monitor
@amlivemon
West doesnt subsidize energy and inputs to the tune of 100% like China does with its factories. Clown x.com/mmjukic/status…
“It’s simple to compete with China, guys, just let the government control all your banks and money, completely prevent labor from getting any bargaining leverage, go 110% on manufacturing, and voila. Win.” There’s a reason decoupling is needed to avoid race to the bottom.
Right, in the West, we famously have banks and money that are totally free of any government control or influence.
It was explained to me by a Chinese national (spy) that the competitive advantage in general is conferred primarily through non-monetary subsidies. Land use/access, free or low cost power, and so on.
Alright. What are the real numbers? What amount of subsidy do you think would be appropriate to rapidly mass-manufacture millions of electric vehicles at unprecedentedly low prices? Are you an anarchocapitalist who thinks all subsidies anywhere are illegitimate?
Closer to $1.2B per year and that doesn't include subsidized inputs (graphite sells for the price of needlecoke, lepidolite). Also doesn't include in-kind land and power. In an industry with single-digit margins, this is the difference between bankruptcy and profitably
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Chinese companies aren’t winning. They played a short term game and are now on an endless treadmill of loss until the inevitable apocalyptic crash.
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Michael Pettis
@michaelxpettis
1/8 Reuters: “China's biggest solar firms shed nearly one-third of their workforces last year, company filings show, as one of the industries hand-picked by Beijing to drive economic growth grapples with falling prices and steep losses.” reuters.com/sustainability
It's not possible to know what subsidies are being paid; most are covert - low rent, land at a discount price, and infinitely more cheats; as recounted in almost nauseating detail in the book "How Asia Works."
Chinese companies are also remarkably easy to trade with these days. That plus better prices makes it hard to ignore
Also the competition is absolutely fierce. Most entrants will die out but the winners will be extremely competitive globally. See BYD in auto
I’ve noticed when people point out all the holes in your initial argument, you then just pivot to “industrial policy works”. You are forgetting that these subsidies have to happen at the expense of the general population. That doesn’t work as well in a democracy.
Other subsidies include technology theft, forced technology transfers, low environmental standards, low labour standards, barriers to imports, currency manipulation, subsidies to other parts of the supply chain, etc.
US manipulates fossil fuel in the same way China does rare earths and gas. We invest heavily in it through tax incentives. People need to understand that solar and EV are so cheap in China as they spent money on infrastructure for those to limit their fossil fuel requirements.
All Chinese companies are subsidized even the private ones. It’s a web of state-public support. Most large firms even private ones owned by state or local officials thru shadow corps. But that have become the most competitive in terms of output and cost.
Focusing on the $800M direct subsidy alone misses the POINT. CATL’s moat comes from years of coordinated tax breaks, procurement preference, and input subsidies that locked foreign players out until locals reached scale. By the time the door “reopened,” the market was
The 🇺🇸 has a problem of capital waste. "Messy eaters" comes to mind. That's why in the 🇪🇺, we manage to do with 1 million € what they do with 10 million $ in the 🇺🇸 . Money is a precious tool and should be respected (not worshipped either).
Their whole system is a subsidy because they force American companies to hand over intellectual property in order to do business in China. What is the value of that?
Would we? What's not shown there is the CCP also picks the winners and losers. So they know their 800M investment is going to pay out. You honestly want the government to play VC and favorites in a "capitalist" system? Just be honest that you're a fascist.
$800 million to $52 billion is about 15%. So you mean, the Chinese government forgoes 15% sales tax to empower the private company, while the Trump is taking 15% from the companies such as Nvidia and AMD to enrich the government? Since when does government produce economic
I won't like to used word "unfairly" but Chinese cos are heavily subsidised even if we believe CATL has produced tremendous revenue as per subsidy then I would just they turned out to be winner but it's true that China spends on subsidies the most & surely they would be some
Doesn't seem to incl subsidised credit, which on CSIS own analysis (DePippo et al 2022) is the largest component of Chinese subsidies (if hardest to measure, esp on the firm level). No idea what Catl gets, but if that isn't included I'd be wary of reading too much out of the data
Cracking down on quant funds, thereby reallocating talent to physical economy is probably more significant (no hate to quants but I wonder if making markets slightly more efficient in narrow sense is best use of that talent)
Quite noticeable there are more Toyota/Buick/Ford EV taxis and Didi’s, than there are private cars. Citizenry complains the govt frequently looks out for foreign co’s, are sellouts etc. Maybe it’s not just supply chain, PRC also wants the healthiest market.
If I have to guess a lot of subsidies are just local government trying to get their investment in their state. Just like what’s happening in US as well
Because they don't have to worry about the next election cycle, they have the capacity to think ahead for more than 2 years.
They manipulate currency but more importantly they don't have to do a trillion environmental impact studies to build a factory
Chinese government helping startups small or big with subsidy is any of our business why???!!!!! this system clearly works, so why stop doing it?!
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Remember that Tesla, an American company, was given green light to build a mega factory in Shanghai and it was built in 1 year. How much is that 3 years savings "subsidy" worth? Foreign companies benefited too.
If the West wants to be competitive what we need to do is raise taxes and do more green reforms. Do NOT lower taxes and encourage cheap energy.
It's the land, it's the loans, it's the almost certain guarantee the company won't go under, it's the close relationship with the government on every level. Did you just start being a China expert?
They can avoid the heavy R&D costs because they just steal it from coercing Western companies to set up manufacturing shops there.
wtf you think a near 2% subsidy of total revenue isn’t high??? This can’t be a serious post. For a low margin industry that’s an enormous difference.
Many replies below highlighting that this is a strawman, as the subsidies are rarely provided in the form of cash. Your response to each is to introduce the red herring of whether the US ought to engage in the same strategy.
It’s not that they’re “subsidized” It’s that they are controlled by the PRC, their books are totally phoney, their labor are slaves, and their materials are adulterated
sure, if "winning" means underperforming the S&P by 300% over the last 20 years Party sits on every corporate board by law and most of the Chinese economy is now in the hands of state-owned entities the subsidy is in banning their competitors and letting them pollute air/water
Imagine the US gov giving millions in subsidies to Chinese global leaders in battery tech to build factories in the US? If the US is serious in wanting to rebuild manufacturing in the US, approaching world’s manuf superpower China for help makes sense.👇
How much subsidies did the Chinese gov give to Tesla over the years & in what forms of subsidy in US Dollars?
Answer by Grok
The Chinese government has provided Tesla with significant subsidies to support its electric vehicle (EV) production and sales in China, primarily through its New Energy Vehicle (NEV) subsidy program. Below is a detailed breakdown of the subsidies Tesla has received, based on available data, and the forms these subsidies have taken, converted to US dollars where applicable. Subsidies Received by Tesla from the Chinese Government 2020 Subsidies: Amount: Tesla received approximately CNY 2.123 billion, equivalent to about USD 329 million in 2020. Details: This subsidy was for 101,082 Tesla vehicles sold in China, accounting for roughly 68% of Tesla’s China sales that year. The subsidies were part of the Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology’s (MIIT) NEV promotion program, which provided financial incentives based on the number of qualifying vehicles sold. Context: Tesla was the most heavily subsidized automaker in China in 2020, surpassing local competitors like BYD, which received CNY 2 billion (approximately USD 309 million) for 117,000 vehicles. Cumulative Subsidies (2016–2020): Amount: While exact figures for Tesla’s total subsidies from 2016 to 2020 are not explicitly detailed in the sources, the Chinese government spent RMB 32.946 billion (approximately USD 5 billion) on NEV subsidies across all manufacturers during this period. Tesla, as a major beneficiary, likely received a significant portion, particularly after starting production at its Shanghai Gigafactory in 2020. A conservative estimate suggests Tesla’s share could be in the range of USD 300–500 million for this period, with the bulk coming in 2020 due to its late entry into local production (2019). Note: Tesla only became eligible for these subsidies after opening its Shanghai factory in 2019, as subsidies are tied to vehicles produced in China using Chinese batteries. Post-2020 Subsidies: 2021–2022: The Chinese government extended NEV subsidies through 2022, with a 20% reduction in 2021 compared to 2020 levels. While specific figures for Tesla in 2021 and 2022 are not provided, Tesla continued to benefit from these subsidies as its sales in China grew. For context, China’s total EV subsidy spending from 2016 to 2022 was around USD 57 billion, including tax exemptions, with Tesla as a key recipient due to its high sales volume. 2023 and Beyond: National buyer rebates were phased out by 2023, but Tesla continued to benefit from local subsidies in cities like Shanghai, which offered up to USD 1,500 per vehicle for EV purchases. Additionally, Tesla benefited from a vehicle purchase tax exemption, which was extended through 2027. From 2009 to 2022, China provided about USD 30 billion in tax exemptions for EVs, with Tesla as a significant beneficiary post-2019. Estimated Total (2009–2023): Amount: A precise total for Tesla is difficult to pinpoint due to incomplete data, but based on available information, Tesla likely received at least USD 1–2 billion in direct subsidies and tax exemptions from 2019 to 2023. This estimate includes: USD 329 million in 2020 (confirmed). A portion of the USD 57 billion in total EV subsidies (2016–2022), with Tesla’s share likely significant due to its high sales volume and status as a top recipient in 2020. Ongoing tax exemptions (estimated at USD 30 billion industry-wide from 2009–2022, with Tesla benefiting post-2019). Local subsidies in cities like Shanghai post-2022. Forms of Subsidies The Chinese government has provided Tesla with subsidies in several forms, primarily focused on promoting NEV adoption and supporting local production. These include: Buyer Rebates: Description: Direct financial payments to automakers based on the number of NEVs sold that meet specific criteria (e.g., range and energy efficiency). In 2020, Tesla received an average of about USD 3,100 per vehicle (RMB 20,000) for 101,082 vehicles. Impact: These rebates lowered the effective cost of Tesla vehicles, boosting consumer demand and Tesla’s sales in China. Vehicle Purchase Tax Exemptions: Description: EVs in China are exempt from a 10% vehicle purchase tax, a policy introduced in 2014 and extended through 2027. This exemption has been a major financial boon, with industry-wide tax breaks totaling USD 30 billion from 2009 to 2022. Tesla vehicles produced in Shanghai have benefited since 2019, reducing costs for buyers and increasing Tesla’s competitiveness. Impact: For example, in 2022 and 2023, tax exemptions were estimated at USD 13–17 billion annually industry-wide, with Tesla’s share significant due to its high sales volume. Production Subsidies: Description: Payments from MIIT based on the number of EVs produced. Tesla received USD 329 million in 2020 for production subsidies tied to its Shanghai Gigafactory output. These subsidies are contingent on using Chinese-made batteries and local production. Impact: Enabled Tesla to scale production at Gigafactory Shanghai, which became a key export hub. Local Government Support: Description: Some local governments, such as Shanghai, offered additional incentives like rebates for EV purchases (e.g., USD 1,500 per vehicle in Shanghai post-2022) and potentially low-cost land or loans for Tesla’s Gigafactory. While exact figures for land and loan subsidies are hard to quantify, they are noted as significant for EV makers. Impact: Supported Tesla’s rapid establishment and expansion of Gigafactory Shanghai, completed in under a year. Infrastructure Support: Description: The Chinese government has subsidized EV charging infrastructure, with USD 20 billion spent by 2023 to build charging networks. While not directly paid to Tesla, this infrastructure supports Tesla’s sales by making EV ownership more practical. Impact: Enhanced Tesla’s market penetration by improving EV usability in China. R&D and Other Incentives: Description: Tesla, classified as a high-tech company, benefits from a reduced corporate income tax rate (15% vs. 25%) and potential R&D grants, though specific amounts for Tesla are not detailed. These are typically provided at the provincial or local level. Impact: Lowered operational costs and supported Tesla’s technological advancements in China. Critical Notes Eligibility: Tesla only became eligible for most subsidies after opening its Shanghai Gigafactory in 2019, as subsidies require local production and Chinese-made batteries. This limits Tesla’s subsidy history compared to domestic manufacturers like BYD, which received **USD 3.7 billion in direct subsidies from 2016–2020. Data Gaps**: Exact figures for Tesla’s subsidies in years other than 2020 are less clear, as reports often aggregate industry-wide spending. Estimates are based on Tesla’s market share and reported trends. Context**: Subsidies have been critical to Tesla’s growth in China, where it sold 86,697 vehicles in August 2024 alone, boosted by trade-in subsidies for replacing old cars with EVs. However, subsidies have also fueled criticism from foreign governments, leading to tariffs (e.g., EU’s 17.4–38.1% tariffs in 2024) due to perceived unfair advantages. Skepticism**: Some argue the subsidy figures may be understated, as they exclude indirect support like low-cost loans or land. Conversely, China claims subsidies have decreased as a percentage of sales (from 40% in early years to 11.4% in 2023), suggesting a maturing industry. Summary Total Subsidies (Estimated): Tesla likely received **USD 1–2 billion in subsidies from the Chinese government from 2019 to 2023, with a confirmed USD 329 million in 2020. Forms**: Buyer rebates, vehicle purchase tax exemptions, production subsidies, local government incentives (e.g., rebates, low-cost land), infrastructure support, and R&D/tax incentives. Sources**: Data primarily from MIIT, Bloomberg, CSIS, and industry reports. For further details on subsidy pricing or specific programs, you can refer to: xAI’s API service for more data: https://x.ai/api SuperGrok subscription details: https://x.ai/grok General EV subsidy trends: https://help.x.com/en/using-x/x-premium
Didnt check. But I suspect the CSIS subsidies numbers include tax breaks. If tax breaks are considered subsidies, US just pass one of the biggest tax reduction bill. 🤷‍♂️
Hi bro, I’ve lived in China 30 years. CATL’s taxes are near zero or refunded through Party channels—basically a hidden subsidy. China’s corporate tax rate is ~40%, so you might want to recalculate your numbers.
Those crying subsidize just never look at themselves look st the banknin US on last financial crisis. Also check out the subsidies by US on its farmer.
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no we wouldn't lol american companies won't even invest in themselves and our government has been obsessed with "austerity" for decades
In the US American companies are highly subsidized through low taxation, credits, subsidies, crazy bailouts, trillions are spent subsidizing US companies.
It’s like saying Michale Tyson only eats $100 worth of food everyday. If all that it took, you can do it too.