This seems like the big headline. Those two strong post-tariff jobs reports may have been a total mirage
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Who would have thought that changing the conditions for business day to day on a whim would create uncertainty?
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Just curious but why would there be revisions of this magnitude? Is it bc of cuts at the BLS and difficulty compiling the data?
Predictable.
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Rio Veradonir
@RioVeradonir
When Thomas Sowell says Trump’s tariffs are “a catastrophic mistake”, conservatives listen. Unfortunately, most Trump voters are not conservative.
foxbusiness.com/politics/trump
Serious Q. With weeks jobs and June and May totals revised down by a combined 258,000 & unemployment rate at 4.2%.
Does this mean that there are just way fewer people searching for jobs? Shouldn’t the unemployment rate be higher?
Tell me there is a problem with BLS without telling me there is a problem with BLS.
How do they fuck this up so bad. Seems like every administration always gets it wrong, then quietly revises the numbers down later
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zerohedge
@zerohedge
Liesman "no evidence jobs numbers are politicized"
Well, there was the whole 1 million downward job revision in August 2024, three weeks before the Fed cut rates 50bps two months before the 2024 election to get Kamala elected.
But aside from that
Knew it. They'd been fiddling the numbers.
On the positive side for Trump it increases the chance of a rate cut
Job growth for Americans
Job losses for government employees and illegals is the storyline
The jobs data has been unreliable for at least two years. No one called attention to it during the Biden admin for fear of helping Trump
I think it’s fare to see these revisions and assume that July will be revised down to a negative number
You jinxed it lol
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Joe Weisenthal
@TheStalwart
Man, the number of times the American economy has been counted out
Could this be why they were trying so hard to force Jerome Powell to reduce rates?!
Why do people actuality follow the BLS jobs numbers if they're revised downwards the vast majority of the time?
last month you said the economy was roaring because of some numbers from an unreliable federal government despite abundance of evidence this wasnt true
The Fed’s Michelle Bowman made an impromptu ̶j̶o̶b̶ ̶a̶p̶p̶l̶i̶c̶a̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ ̶ statement this morning, no doubt timed to coincide with the jobs report for maximum effect:
And the accuracy of BLS statistical data under Trump is now open for angst among those who pay attention to such matters.
And yet, Powell - who must’ve known about these substantial downward adjustments before speaking this week - continues to proclaim the job market is generally strong, thereby justifying keeping rates higher than virtually every other central bank.
Yeah may or may not have to do with this admin firing half the folks responsible for keeping track of these things (likely intentionally at that) and just putting out imaginary #’s
When will the market realize that Trump admin is willingly manipulating the statistics
How do revisions like these even happen? A few % pts is understandable … but -86% / -90% revs seems crazy enough to throw into question the value of these surveys entirely
(Relatedly, any episodes on the logistics & methodology of surveys like this?)
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OF COURSE they're cooking the numbers. It's exactly what they accused Dems of doing previously. Always projection w/ these folks.
Woah the WH lied?!?!? This is shocking and completely out of character for them.
so when are you going to start adjusting your thought processes around the concept that ALL THE NUMBERS ARE COOKED hahaha
Correct.
No-one in their right mind believed the May and June jobs reports were accurate. Well, except perhaps for some irrational fools.
Tariffs are BAD for the economy. Period.
May have been.....?
Nothing coming out of this corrupt administration is the truth.
NOTHING.....
We’ve basically had zero job growth over the last 2 months under this administration and tariffs. He’s tanking the economy. Again.
GIF
Omg wow. It’s almost as if tariffs are a fucking disaster for the economy.
Why could’ve guessed?
GIF
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Are the jobs reports ever not revised? Are they all mirages then or just this one?
You can't trust data integrity and transparency in this administration?
MUST BE TDS
waht shit data quality in this country we have. utterly worthless
This isn't worrisome. Trump was wrong about one thing. With all the deportations, those jobs aren't black jobs. They're MAGA jobs. Now, you magats have your pick of jobs to help the economy. From strangling chickens for the colonel, working in food plants, or picking strawberries
“Hmmm I’m starting to think this Trump guy may be a liar!”
Fuckkkkk youuuuu mannnnnnnnn
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Hey Joe - not sure how a 30% whiff can be called a “small miss” unless you meant to use the sarcasm font and just forgot. Run the numbers without health care workers and it’s a 3 month decline.
You might want to consider that illegal immigrant job #’s went down and native born #’s went up. Nothing to do with tariffs.
It wasn’t a mirages. It was an intentional lie. Start using the word lying when Our talking about the Trump regime. They aren’t making mistakes, they are lying.
Interesting point. , what do you think—could those reports really have been that far off?