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Thomas van Linge

Iranian regime in a nutshell: -economy sucks but a necessary sacrifice to prepare for war. -brutal repression is essential to maintain unity in case of war. -international isolation a minor price to pay in order not to be hindered in preparation for war war starts: -sucks at war

Quote

Aurora Intel

@AuroraIntel

Jun 16

Footage reportedly documenting an Israeli Hermes 450 over Tehran.

0:03 / 0:24

9:33 AM · Jun 16, 2025

493.9K

Views

David Watson 🥑

Post your reply

Thomas van Linge

Those discussing whether Israel has the military capacity to commence regime change in Iran are asking the wrong question. Israel doesn't need to bomb the Islamic Republic until there's nothing left, it just needs to expose the charade behind the regime's repressive social

Also in a nutshell - spends all its money arming proxies to do the fighting - is left defenceless when the proxies are wiped out

Many such cases

Woolly Willamette

Quote

Matthew

@reaganbush84fan

Jun 12

Reminder

the seditionists

@TheSeditionists

Bro, that's just totalitarian regimes in a nutshell

Iran is isolated from the world by force, not choice. When Obama’s 2015 deal was signed they immediately began buying tens of billion$ of western goods and heavy industry

The regime sacrifices economy, freedom, and diplomacy to prepare for war, justifying repression and isolation as necessary. Yet when war comes, it underperforms, revealing a system built more on ideology rather than real strategic capability.

90 Days Liquidity

@90daysliquidity

Many such cases

Robert Bernhardt

i suspect north korea would be similar

Yagdil Isn't Brisk

Lmaoooo

American Weapons are just better, over all, when used by an US Ally with nearly unconditional and true support.

Very well put! This terrorist regime will be talked about for decades as the epitome of incompetence.

God, you are so thick

They probably should have spent more money on air defenses rather than vast quantities of utterly worthless but cool looking prestige weapons

the Russia model

Unironic National Directory Loyalist

@confusedorlean

This sort of thing kills states. The next government won't be the one the Israelis have always hoped for. But Iran is probably going to go the same way as Galiteri, the Greek Colonels, and Wilhelm and Nicholas. Authoritarian regimes can't survive humiliation.

Iranian, Lebanese, and Iraqi shias have a heavy Mossad infiltration, unlike Gaza, where the largely Sunni population has remained difficult for Israel to penetrate, they couldn’t even find their hostages while they eliminated all axis leaders in a span of hours.

@WolvesSuperfan

They went all in on missile tech and forgot everything else. You can't just specialize in one thing and neglect the rest Classic HOIV mistake

Hoàng Tuấn Anh

@HongTun66453995

Being sucks at war should be a classical archetype for every Middle Eastern dictatorial regimes .....

Conservative Hedonist

@DietBalanced666

That's a drone from 1998, thats like a 100 years old in rone years. Iran is incapable of taking out a drone from 1998 that moves at like 50 miles/hour.

@AMELIA53034756

Concise and accurate. The regime’s focus on war prep at the expense of its people shows their priorities clearly. But when conflict comes, their weaknesses become painfully obvious.

Wooltiger Herder

@Wolltigerhueter

You see, had there been more electricity shortages they would have been so much better at the whole war thing.

The West keeps winning as the others, maybe apart from China, suck so bad.

pretty much i’ve spoken to plenty of iranians who overestimated their military capabilities, by a long shot lol

also shows one thing worse than being russia's enemy: being russia's friend

Poor guy never heard of "shahed 129" or "358"

President Carter

They going out sad which is the worst thing you could do

Alberto Santini

👨‍🏫

@zappaterrologo

1)Wasting money on Hizballah and rocket forces because "muh deterrence" and "psyops master Soleimani" 2)Buy Russian air defence garbage 3)Get support from the population by spending you counterespionage's and police's resources on chasing girls who wear the wrong hijab. 4)Oh no.

GIF

These are all fine points, but that is not a Hermes 450, which has a range of 300km! It is the Shahed 129. As for the Iranian regime, it is best at brutalizing its own people and imposing Islamist ideology, not fighting modern aerial warfare against U.S.-armed nations and F-35s.

By the way, the ultimate argument for why it is worth harming economy with tariffs is "but what if war". I cannot help but see the similarity here

That’s not an Israeli drone you spoon.

Bakhtiyar Khilji

That could also be a shahed 129

True. Even if peace was made today, the regime will never recover from this embarrassment

What is every authoritarian regime ever?

Same as with russia

Lmfao So on point.

Conservative Hedonist

@DietBalanced666

Iran spent 45 years not preparing for this war.

GIF

Just like Russia.

Exactly like Italy's fascism. +20 preparing for eternal war, only to get absolutely dogwalked by Greece. Greece. Jesus, man.

This alleged footage could have been pulled from anywhere on twitter. There are like thousands of these from the last decade genius

Economy sucks ... a bit of an understatement

Quote

World of Statistics

@stats_feed

Jun 15

GDP per capita 1990:

Israel: $13,120

Iran: $10,660 2025:

Israel: $57,760

Iran: $3,897 (IMF)

Idrees Ahmad | idreesahmad.bsky.social

That's a Shahed 129. This is a Hermes 450.

Hermes 450 Multi-Role High Performance Tactical UAS - Airforce Technology

From airforce-technology.com

Plus Russian military gear doesn't seem to be very good

Seventh Concept

Exactly. A regime that can't produce consent will fail at everything eventually, war included. Same story with Russia. All those resources, and they still can’t deliver. It's like these aren’t real governments, but a mafia like group of people holding the state apparatus hostage.

well, you’re leaving out the spent more money on their proxies than they did on the homefront Coupled with the assassination of Sulemani, the military turned into Egyptian military which essentially is just a glorified mafia, running a protection racket on its own country

How are they worse than the Houthi’s lmao

Rich regime stooges leave with millions, laughing... Same everywhere unfortunately

I wonder if South Korea is looking at this and having some ideas.

the poutine poirot

@poutine_poirot

Not just Iran, either. Russia has been exposed, as have the troops NK supplied. The West/Democracies could stop being so docile.

Where do you think that was launched from?

Where are their F35s , israeli losers getting their ass whooped

@friedspongecake

Pours all their actual assets into a secretive dupliciate structure Dupliciate structure is thoroughly infiltrated by enemy ??? Eternal Islamic Republic victory

What a backwards way of thinking. Yea regime sucks for a bazillion reasons but being isolated both economically and politically was forced on them when they decided to develop without owing any favors to isreal, US and NATO like any other country in the region.

It's a Shahed-129. Wallah, Westerners are retarded

You must be talking about the zionist regime committing genocide and launching destructive wars across the region, which you cheer on, obviously, fuk off

@SaigonHasFallen

israel : -do crimes against humanity for your 75 years of existence -have all journalists ignore it

Keep coping u ukrainetard israel was hit hard as hell

Bronze Age Neolithic Conservative

Now do the Israeli regime

Exactly. This is ridiculous beyond belief.

OMG people don't know just how accurate this is

Now do United States.

Subliminal Doom

@subliminaldoom

The Iraqis under Saddam Hussein were truly incompetent

Also sounds like Russian regime in a nutshell

"Sparta, but run by idiots"

@longlivenato79

SAME AS russia, its economy is crap, but everything only focus on militarism

Israeli regime starves Gazan children.

Blessed_Shaam | Ali Saroot

Iran must be delisted from being one of the superpowers.

I see the downfall of Iran by the next year..

One big war and all the western bubble economy will go back to cave era.

The drone is a shaheed 129

Well, they did have a lot of russian derivatives in their arsenal. Also goat fucking and incest combined with nepotism isn't really the way to get the best people into right places.

@OpenmindAvenue

Thomas, you are the kind of a*hole who phones someone who got badly injured after an accident to mock him "told ya, you better fasten your seat belt".

ملّوك المقدسي ރ

You on a nutshell: Retarded bastard

It's not even funny at how ill prepared and underpowered they are at what they conveyed to be.

Palmeirense Abelista

You are missing the most important thing. They sent Russia and their proxies a large amount of weapons expecting technologies and trade deals in the future. Now they are left with nothing and their allies made their own deals.

What does Iran get for sending ballistic missiles to Russia?

From atlanticcouncil.org

just like Hitler germang

@danielpavlovic

you should stop calling yourself a democracy and human rights supporter dude

This is Iranian drone

Koḷam̆ba kolla

This drone is an Iranian Shahed 129.

> Too pussy to fight > Hates Arabs > Pays Arabs millions to fight other Arabs and Israelis > Arabs they paid in famine or wiped out > Sold all drones to Russia to get shot down in a wheat field Do they have a plan?

-economy sucks A : because usa put harsh sanction on iran -brutal repression. A : iran should do more repression to eliminate mossad agents -international isolation a minor price A : nuclear program that iran working for for decade is red line not minor price

So many experts. One fool told me the Israeli Air Force was hunting TELs, (mobile ballistic missile launchers) over Iranian air space, 2000km from its bases. Iran is not going to have revolution because of a series of air strikes.

Oh donkey...if iran sucks so much...then why your jewish owners are begging america to join the war? Blood slave of jewish u r

You are so stupid, it’s unbelievable. Israel has the back up of the most powerful army in the world, is supported by the entire west. While Iran has been sanctionned for decades and is forced in responding to an illegal war of agression.