Post

Conversation

iranian president pezeshkian apologizes for attacks on gulf countries, says strikes won’t continue…just before another strike on dubai airport. am getting the sense the iranian president isn’t in charge.
Quote
OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
Another Iranian attack drone hit Dubai International Airport, barely missing Concourse A.
The media could not be played.
David Watson 🥑
Post your reply

The mosaic has become autonomous. The IRGC, the interim council, the regional commanders, the proxy networks. These guys are watching Trump and Hegseth bluster about killing them all. Each Truth Social post gets translated to Farsi. Each Hegseth press conference gets clipped and
I’m not sure how accurate this is. But he seems to be out of the question and that’s why he’s been spared by the air raids.
Image
Days ago I said the irgc and qom are arguing over the next phase. Just sit back and let them do their stuff to each other
He has never been in charge but this is a really substantial shift - he is looking to distinguish the civilian leadership from the religious military and leadership. He may be the best possible option to take control of Iran as unlikely as that is.
Power in systems like this is often split. Political leadership sets the strategy, but security institutions can still operate with their own momentum once operations begin. That can make the messaging and the actions look out of sync.
Even if we assume statement had any value, may only refer to states like Azerbaijan and Oman, with Iran considering UAE a member of the US-Israel coalition
Of course he is not ın charge, no one care about what he said.
Quote
Memet Aksakal
@aksakal_memet
In Iran, coordination and the chain of command between the government, the IRGC, and the military have broken down. In the Kurdistan region of Iran, many bases and headquarters of the Revolutionary Guards, police, and military have been largely destroyed. Due to internal x.com/aksakal_memet/…
why is everyone ignoring the keyword from the statement: “friendly”? they are trying to split the gulf countries and reduce us military access to some of them
Is the U.S. though firing/launching from Dubai?- as he said Iran wouldn’t fire on those countries provided that they weren’t attacked from there. Everyone seems to be ignoring that proviso & not checking whether US is deploying from the relevant country.
Who's actually driving? Iranian president apologizes while drones keep flying. Dubai's free zones issued guidance within the hour. I know where I'm building.
Or….they already knocked out US radar assets in such countries- hard to know what is true
Thanks, but this incident was after his remarks. (although there were other small incidents after that as well)
He didn’t say they would t strike other countries he said - "From now on, they should not attack neighboring countries or fire missiles at them, unless we are attacked by those countries / unless an attack on Iran originates from those countries." Get it right !
It’s most likely the individual units had standing orders to attack various targets in the event of the death of the supreme leader. The command and control is long gone .
What if it's Israel? They've been eager to have Muslims fight their own wars as it serves their Greater Israel project.
Clearly the Arab States in the Gulf Region Haven't Resonded yet. 🇮🇷 seems to be offering them an "Off Ramp". They Negotiate Directly with IRAN to stop the Bombs dropping on their Territory. Not through 🇺🇸 & Donald Trump. Probably means 🇺🇸 Bases have to Vacate.
Iranian ruling power is now in Mosaic structure where different IRG groups act as independent nodes without talking approval from president or anywhere else and it looks like it will stay this way for quite a while even if war ends tommorow
He very well may have lost control of the army and IRGC who continue to strike targets without authorization. But it also could be an Israel false flag.
He apologizes to the gulf countries. About Israel, nothing, implying every hit was fully intended. Same about US assets in the area. On top, his apology was not real as the attack continues. Iran is everything Israel has been telling us for decades. And yet, Spain loves it.
Iran is not backing off. US is using bases in the Gulf countries for attacks. Iran gives those countries a choice: refuse to host the Muricans or we will continue attacks.