As with many things in life, the poorer you are, the worse opportunities you get. The lottery is predatory, with a much higher house edge than other forms of gambling and mostly targeting customers of low socioeconomic status. It is much worse than sports betting, for instance.
Lotta responses to this noting that the rich also gamble, but through financial markets. True, but those are typically positive sum expected value bets, while the government takes 30 cents out of every dollar wagered on the lottery.

Apr 7, 2024 · 8:51 PM UTC

Replying to @NateSilver538
You consent to the lottery. You don’t meaningfully consent to the hundreds of billions the govt prints and injects into the economy, reducing your buying power via inflation. The lottery isn’t predatory. Establishment politicians and the deep state are.
Replying to @NateSilver538
Lottery is for people who can’t do math!
Replying to @NateSilver538
Can we at least acknowledge that a lot of behaviors that lead to people being poorer likely positively correlate with decisions to spend significant amounts of money on scratchers?
It's a regressive tax.
Replying to @NateSilver538
Robinhood is pretty cheap, no?
Replying to @NateSilver538
It is better to reframe lottery as entertainment like going to a movie (except that the movie stars yourself winning) and not as an investment.
Replying to @NateSilver538
Good analysis!!!
Replying to @NateSilver538
Upper class people gamble in the stock market.
Replying to @NateSilver538
I’m glad to hear you say this, because it is so evil that our democratic government meant which is supposed to represent the people praise on them with expensive marketing campaigns- you can’t win if you don’t, etc. At every place, they sell lottery tickets. There should be a big sign that says, buying more than one ticket will not increase your odds of winning. @reason. This is the clear example of government and it’s elected and appointed officials taking advantage of the people they are are paid to serve
Replying to @NateSilver538
Ideally, the poor who play lotteries would accumulate financial assets, instead, like stocks and bonds. However, I wonder whether the segment of the poor who play lotteries would, in the absence of lotteries, play illegal numbers games or spend more on other vices, in which case an ROI of -30% might not be that bad.